Roth Capital Markets analyst Rohit Kulkarni raised his 12-month worth goal on DoorDash (DoorDash Inventory Quote, Chart, Information, Analysts, Financials NYSE:DASH) to $225 in a July 14 earnings preview, forward of the corporate’s second-quarter outcomes set for launch after market shut on Wednesday, August 6.
Kulkarni maintained a “Impartial” ranking, citing a slender margin of error for a inventory he views as a premium asset with a premium valuation.
He mentioned second-quarter bookings could shock to the upside however famous that pending acquisitions of SevenRooms and Deliveroo might make the outcomes noisy.
“Our skilled checks point out DASH continues to take care of/achieve share in Retail & Grocery. Worldwide growth and Advt. revs stay marginal development drivers,” he mentioned.
He mentioned Avenue estimates for DoorDash have usually trended upward over the previous 12 months, outperforming estimate revisions for meals supply competitor Lyft.
“Since Jan 2024, Avenue estimates for DASH’s income, EBITDA, and gross order worth have grown by +10%, +21%, and +9%, respectively,” he mentioned. “Nonetheless, over the previous 90 days there have been slight revisions together with decreases in income and EBITDA, and a rise in (gross order worth).”
Kulkarni mentioned DoorDash is buying and selling at a premium in comparison with its historic averages, with shares above median three-year valuation multiples on each EV/EBITDA and EV/Gross sales. Because the day after its first-quarter 2025 earnings report, the inventory has risen 36.8%, outperforming the S&P 500’s 10.7% achieve over the identical interval.
He famous that expectations for the second and third quarters are excessive, with Avenue estimates leaning towards the highest finish of the corporate’s steering. For Q2 2025, the Avenue initiatives gross order worth of $23.48-billion, up 19.7% year-over-year, and Adjusted EBITDA of $638.37-million, up 49.5%, in comparison with a high-end information of $23.7-billion and $650-million, respectively. For Q3, consensus estimates are for GOV of $23.78-billion, up 18.9%, and Adjusted EBITDA of $715.09-million, up 29.3%.
Kulkarni famous a number of key developments through the quarter. On Could 14, DoorDash launched drone supply inside a four-mile radius in Charlotte by means of a partnership with Wing. That expanded on June 26 to Dallas–Fort Value, protecting over 30,000 houses and 100,000 residents by way of a partnership with Flytrex. Since April, DoorDash has added 548 new grocery areas to its platform throughout the U.S., largely within the Northeast. The corporate additionally introduced its deliberate acquisition of restaurant CRM supplier SevenRooms on Could 6, with the deal anticipated to shut within the second half of 2025.
“DoorDash introduced its acquisition of self-service advert platform, Symbiosys, valued at $175mn on June 11,” he mentioned.
Kulkarni estimates that DoorDash will generate $2.7-billion in Adjusted EBITDA on income of $13.0-billion in fiscal 2025, up from his earlier income forecast of $12.9-billion. He expects these figures to enhance to $3.8-billion in Adjusted EBITDA on income of $15.8-billion in fiscal 2026, barely above his prior estimate of $15.7-billion.
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