Roth Capital Markets analyst Sean McGowan lifted his goal worth on GURU Natural Power (GURU Natural Power Inventory Quote, Chart, Information, Analysts, Financials TSX:GURU) to C$7.50 from C$4.00 whereas sustaining a “Purchase” ranking in an Oct. 27 report, citing accelerating gross sales momentum and a return to profitability regardless of the tip of its Pepsi distribution settlement.
“GURU’s share worth has soared in current weeks, which we see as the results of buyers recognizing that its income progress has not been harm by the discontinuation of its distribution settlement with Pepsi, and that its profitability has considerably improved,” McGowan stated. “Regardless of the sharp appreciation, we see additional upside, and have raised our goal worth to C$7.50, as we see GURU as an progressive firm rising market share in a rising class.”
Since reporting better-than-expected third-quarter outcomes final month, GURU shares have climbed 124%, outperforming the S&P/TSX Composite’s 4% achieve and reaching their highest degree in over three years. McGowan stated earlier skepticism round GURU’s Pepsi partnership weighed on the inventory for years after its IPO, however current quarters present the corporate “can keep stable progress with out Pepsi” whereas executing disciplined price management to attain constructive internet revenue.
“The outcomes validate administration’s pre-IPO assertion—that it may in time return to worthwhile progress,” he stated.
McGowan stated the North American vitality drink market, which had slowed in 2024, has rebounded sharply in 2025, with mid-teens share gross sales progress 12 months over 12 months.
“Guru has managed to carry its share in most retail channels, whereas rising its share at Amazon and increasing within the U.S.,” he stated. “The corporate has gone from struggling to carry share in a slowing market to gaining share in a rising market.”
GURU’s long-standing concentrate on “better-for-you, zero sugar, natural elements” aligns with shifting shopper preferences.
“Customers have come to the place GURU has all the time been,” McGowan stated, pointing to the speedy rise of sugar-free vitality drinks, which now account for greater than half of the North American class quantity.
Regardless of the current rally, McGowan stated he expects additional upside as GURU’s positioning within the “better-for-you” phase continues to be re-rated by buyers.
“We consider that as the corporate experiences outcomes over the following 18–24 months, surprises usually tend to be to the upside,” he stated.
He didn’t alter his monetary forecasts, persevering with to mannequin fiscal 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of –$1.5-million on income of $33.9-million, bettering to $1.0-million on income of $41.7-million in fiscal 2026.
“The stability sheet stays debt-free, the corporate has been repurchasing shares, and we count on income surprises to be to the upside because it continues to profit from beneficial trade developments and disciplined execution,” McGowan stated.
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