Roth Capital Markets analyst Eric Handler mentioned in an Oct. 14 earnings preview that IMAX (IMAX Inventory Quote, Chart, Information, Analysts, Financials NYSE:IMAX) delivered file third-quarter world field workplace outcomes, supported by accelerating market share, sturdy local-language titles, and faster-than-expected community growth in high-revenue markets.
Handler maintained his “Purchase” ranking and raised his 12-month goal worth to US$40.00 from US$36.00, primarily based on 12.5× his 2026 EBITDA estimate.
“IMAX’s strategic initiatives helped drive file 3Q GBO outcomes and its second-highest quarterly gross ever,” Handler mentioned. “Native-language titles have been a supply of power, and community growth is happening at a faster-than-projected tempo in markets with above-average income per display.”
He expects a powerful movie slate by way of the rest of 2025, led by Avatar: Fireplace and Ash, with additional momentum into 2026 and 2027.
Handler raised his Q3 projections for world field workplace to US$360-million, up 51% 12 months over 12 months and nicely forward of his earlier US$278-million forecast. Web income and totally consolidated EBITDA estimates had been lifted to US$105-million (+17%) and a Road-high US$50-million (+29%), respectively.
GBO grew throughout all main areas, together with +29% in North America, +35% in China, and +95% internationally excluding China. In North America, IMAX achieved a file 6% market share, hovering close to an all-time excessive on a trailing-twelve-month foundation.
Handler famous that “IMAX had 4 films within the quarter exceed US$50-million in GBO, a primary for the corporate,” led by Demon Slayer: Infinity Fortress at US$72-million, adopted by F1 (US$54-million), Superman (US$54-million), and Unbelievable 4: First Steps (US$52-million).
Seven Hollywood titles posted opening-weekend market shares above 10%, and IMAX’s attraction prolonged past “Filmed for IMAX” content material, with Demon Slayer and One Battle After One other topping 18% opening-weekend shares.
Pushed by GBO power and a secure price base, Handler forecasts content-solutions gross margin of 70%, up from 54.6% a 12 months earlier, with whole EBITDA margin at 47.8%, among the many highest in firm historical past.
Trying to This fall 2025, he expects GBO of US$338-million (+66%), internet income of US$127-million (+37%), and EBITDA of US$57-million (+52%), supported by Avatar: Fireplace and Ash and titles comparable to Tron: Ares, The Working Man, Depraved: For Good, and Zootopia 2. He tasks Avatar: Fireplace and Ash alone will generate US$167-million in IMAX GBO, surpassing Avatar: The Manner of Water’s US$151-million in 4Q22.
Handler mentioned IMAX ought to produce Adjusted EBITDA of US$182.4-million (prior est. US$172.0-million) on income of US$410.0-million (prior US$400.4-million) in fiscal 2025, bettering to US$201.3-million (prior US$187.8-million) on income of US$443.4-million (prior US$428.4-million) in fiscal 2026.
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